4 Comments

  1. hmmm… the path looking forward, I suppose – still underdone at the moment, but I reckon FB will fine tune that – who’s got time nowadays for a 1 hour Nielson or Morgan poll? probably still valid but outdated, to say the least.

  2. Your comment about the major polls ‘Nielsen, Gallop, Newspoll, I don’t care, you all suck. Worked for a while (maybe) but now? …. Expecting 1400 people to represent 20 million is deranged.’ shows your complete lack of understanding about how science is conducted as a discipline. You fail to note that these methods are still able to accurately predict an election within known sampling error. Your suggested methods have no hope in hell of doing this. Central Limit Theorem proves how you can ask 1,400 to represent 20 million as long as a probability sample is used (which is becoming more and more of an issue). Lets not throw science out the door just because its easy to do things on Facebook.

    1. You may be correct, but to then suggest the numbers Laurel shows above are false would be just as wrong. The polls leading up to the recent US election varied wildly. A small sample can predict a large population as long as that sample is representative and the poll questions not leading.

    2. You may be correct, but to then suggest the numbers Laurel shows above are false would be just as wrong. The polls leading up to the recent US election varied wildly. A small sample can predict a large population as long as that sample is representative and the poll questions not leading.

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